Articles related to buying or selling your home

2020 Outlook: Real Estate Market Forecast

 Tuesday, January 7, 2020     Marion Goard     House and Home Real Estate Market Buying and Selling

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After a bit of a slump, the future's looking bright again for Canadian real estate. Economists expect positive growth in the national housing market in 2020, supported by low mortgage rates, a solid job market, and a rising population.

In fact, in a recent report, RBC Economics called 2019 a “turning point for Canada’s housing market.” To understand why—and where the market is headed—we take a closer look at some of the key indicators and summarize expert predictions for the coming year.  

More importantly, we explain what impact these changes will have on buyers, sellers, and homeowners in 2020 and beyond.

SALES VOLUME WILL RISE

After peaking in 2016, Canadian home sales volume fell in 2017 and 2018. Fortunately, we saw a turnaround last year as sales began to recover, and economists expect the trend to continue. In a recent “Housing Market Outlook” report, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) predicts “home sales will increase in 2020 and 2021, offsetting the declines observed since 2016 by the end of the forecast horizon.” 

The Canadian Real Estate Association expects to see a modest rate of growth this year. “Sales are forecast to continue to improve through 2020, albeit slowly. National home sales are forecast to rise by 7.5% to 518,100 units next year, with most of this increase reflecting a weak start to 2019 rather than a significant change in sales trends out to the end of next year.”

What triggered this rebound in market activity? According to Rishi Sondhi of TD Economics,“The beneficial combination of solid job markets, rising household incomes, healthy population growth, further distance from restrictive government policies and low mortgage rates have given a boost to demand.” 

RBC Economics believes the main impediment to growth will be a lack of supply to meet the reinvigorated demand. “In fact, low inventories in many local markets appear to be holding buyers back who are faced with fewer and fewer options,” noted RBC in its November housing report.

What does it mean for you? The market is heating up as buyer demand grows. If you’re planning to purchase a home this year, be prepared to compete for the best listings. And if you’re a seller who has been waiting for the market to pick up, now may be a good time to act.

HOME PRICES WILL INCREASE

Home prices declined in many markets as sales volume fell. This year, however, sales are set to outpace the supply of new listings. That’s causing prices to increase as buyers compete for fewer available homes. “The rise in the sales-to-new listing ratio suggests that house price inflation will surge,” writes Stephen Brown of Capital Economics.

Nationally, the CMHC expects the average sales price to exceed its peak 2017 level by the end of 2021, led by growth in Ontario, Quebec, and British Columbia. “Other regions will generally see modest gains over the forecast horizon,” predicts the agency in its Fall 2019 Housing Market Outlook.

Rishi Sondhi of TD Economics predicts that affordability challenges will temper price growth in the country’s most expensive markets.4 However, low mortgage rates, rising incomes, and government interventions—like the First Time Home Buyer Incentive program launched in September—could help eager buyers stretch their budgets.

What does it mean for you? If you have the ability and desire to buy a home, act soon before prices go up. Economists expect both home values and rental costs to rise this year, so you’re likely to pay more the longer you wait.

HOUSING STARTS WILL STABILIZE 

In 2017, Canadian housing starts reached a 10-year high. But as the real estate market slowed, builders pulled back. The CMHC expects both single-family and multi-unit construction activity to stabilize this year and to rebound by the end of 2021 to levels consistent with historical averages, although well below the 2017 peak.

Economists at the CMHC speculate that “the support to new residential construction from the expected improvement in economic activity and incomes will be offset by the projected slowing in household formation over the forecast horizon.”

According to PWC’s latest “Emerging Trends in Real Estate” report, condominiums continue to dominate new construction in Canada. Their relative affordability has made them a favourite of both first-time buyers and investors looking to fulfill a growing demand for rental units. However, a narrowing price gap between condos and detached housing could shift builder momentum towards single-family homes.

What does it mean for you? If you’ve had trouble finding a suitable home in the past, new construction may become an increasingly available option. I can help you assess both current and upcoming developments in our area.

I'M HERE TO GUIDE YOU

While national real estate numbers can provide a “big picture” outlook, real estate is local. As local market experts, we can guide you through the ins and outs of our market and the issues most likely to impact sales and home values in your particular neighbourhood.  

START PREPARING TODAY


If you plan to BUY this year:

  1. Get pre-approved for a mortgage. If you plan to finance part of your home purchase, getting pre-approved for a mortgage will give you a jump-start on the paperwork. It's essential to have a pre-approval in place when you submit an offer to purchase.  In a competitive market, going in without a pre-approval is a sure way to loose out on your offer.  Another benefit: you will find out how much you can afford to borrow, You can budget and shop accordingly.
  2. Create your wish list. How many bedrooms and bathrooms do you need? How far are you willing to commute to work? What’s most important to you in a home? We can set up a customized search that meets your criteria to help you find the perfect home for you.
  3. Come to our office. The buying process can be tricky. I’d love to guide you through it. I can help you find a home that fits your needs and budget, all at no cost to you. Give me a call to schedule an appointment today!

 

If you plan to SELL this year:

  1. Call me for a FREE Comparative Market Analysis. A CMA not only gives you the current market value of your home, it will also show how your home compares to others in the area. This will help us determine which repairs and upgrades may be required to get top dollar for your property, and it will help us price your home correctly once you’re ready to list.
  2. Prep your home for the market. Most buyers want a home they can move into right away, without having to make extensive repairs and upgrades. I can help you determine which ones are worth the time and expense to deliver maximum results.
  3. Start decluttering. Help your buyers see themselves in your home by packing up personal items and things you don’t use regularly and storing them in an attic or storage locker. This will make your home appear larger, make it easier to stage ... and get you one step closer to moving when the time comes!

If you’re considering buying or selling a home in 2020, contact me now to schedule a free consultation. We’ll work together to develop an action plan to meet your real estate goals this year.


New Exclusive Listing - SOLD in 1 day!

 Saturday, November 2, 2019     Marion Goard     House and Home Real Estate Market Buying and Selling Just Listed

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Sold in 1 day! Rarely offered end unit bungalow freehold townhouse.  Bright, spacious and impeccably maintained by the original owners.   

Numerous updates include shingles, floors, furnace and air conditioner, kitchen and bathroom counters, gas stove and dryer. 

Located in a very quiet area in Grimsby close to many amenities. 

Price:            $559,000

Bedrooms:     2

Bathrooms:    1.5

Square Feet:  1198 +/- above grade

Garage:         Single

Basement:     Partially finished with family room and den/office. Potential for additional room plus tons of storage space.

Taxes - TF (2019)

Lot:  33.60' x 98.10' 

Don’t miss out. Make this one yours! 

Contact Marion today to arrange your private showing before the property is listed on the Multiple Listing Service!


Spectacular Ravine Lot

 Monday, September 23, 2019     Marion Goard     House and Home Real Estate Market Buying and Selling Just Listed

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Welcome to 298 Gardenview Dr.! An opportunity such as this doesn't come around very often. They're just not making any more land!

Located in a very quiet area in Burlington's Aldershot neighbourhood this large ravine lot backs onto the Hidden Valley Multi Use Trail and Hidden Valley Park.  It's a nature lovers dream! Quiet and peaceful are the most appropriate words to describe the setting.

Located on the property is a 1250+/- sq.ft. bungalow with walk-out lower level. The home is being sold in ‘as is’ condition. Seller provides no warranties.

Don’t miss out. Make this one yours! 

Click here to view the listing details.

Quick view video - https://player.vimeo.com/video/362351213  

Contact Marion today to arrange your private showing!

New Price:     $829,000

# Rooms (above grade):      6

Bedrooms:     3 +1

Bathrooms:    2.5

Square Feet (living space):  2500 +/-

Garage:         Single

Basement:     Finished with walk out

Taxes - $4,021 (2019)

Lot:  70.00 x 185.75 (irregular)


Lovely family home in sought after south east Burlington!

 Tuesday, September 17, 2019     Marion Goard     House and Home Real Estate Market Buying and Selling Just Listed

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SOLD! - Exclusive - detached 3+1 bedroom home in south-east Burlington.  

More pictures to follow soon!

Welcome to 4317 Longmoor Dr.! This lovely 4 level back split, with approximately 2500 square feet of living space, is located in one of Burlington's prime South East neighbourhoods and offers plenty of room for a growing family.

Upon entering the foyer you’ll immediately find the home has a more open feel than might have been expected. The main level features a spacious living/dining room combination and bright eat-in kitchen, plus access to the backyard and garage. Upstairs you’ll find three good sized bedrooms and a generously sized 4-piece bathroom.  

The lower level, which is partially above grade, includes a family room with fireplace, additional bedroom and 2-piece bathroom. A large recreation room, finished laundry area, utility and storage rooms are a few more steps down on the basement level.  

Enjoy the outdoors or entertain family and friends on the large deck in the private, mature backyard. Your garden tools and equipment can easily be stored in the shed at the rear of the yard. With the paved double driveway and single car garage there’s enough space to park up to 5 cars.  

Walk to schools, parks, community centre, shopping and public transit. There's also easy access to major highways and Lake Ontario.  Don’t miss out. Make this one yours! 

Contact Marion today to arrange your private showing!

Price:            $784,9000

# Rooms (above grade):      6

Bedrooms:     3 +1

Bathrooms:    1.5

Square Feet (living space):  2500 +/-

Garage:         Single

Basement:     Fully finished

Taxes - $3,778 (2019)

Lot:  46.04 x 110.43



National Snapshot: How's the Real Estate Market

 Saturday, September 14, 2019     Marion Goard     Real Estate Market Buying and Selling

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The Canadian real estate market is heating up again!

After a cool-down in 2018, economists predicted a modest rebound this year. However, the housing market has exceeded expectations with total national sales volume on the rise since March. July sales were up 3.5% from the previous month and 12.6% higher than last year.1

So what triggered this faster-than-expected turnaround and renewed market activity? And is it sustainable?  

To answer these questions, we take a closer look at some of the key indicators and explore what they mean for buyers, sellers, and homeowners.

HOME VALUES ARE RISING

The scenario varies by market, but nationally, home values are on the rise. According to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), the average sales price in July was up 3.9% from the same month last year. And CREA’s Aggregate Composite MLS Home Price Index—which can more accurately track pricing trends across comparable homes—shows a slow but steady climb since January.1

Toronto-Dominion Bank Economist James Marple attributes the increase in housing prices and sales activity to positive economic fundamentals. “As they have in the past, strong population growth, solid job growth and lower mortgage rates appear to be doing the job of supporting Canadian housing demand.”2

“The immediate downside risk to home prices have diminished considerably,” Marple added. “While affordability will remain a constraint in major high-priced markets, prices appear more likely to increase than decrease over the next year.”2

What does it mean for you? Those who were concerned about a market crash should take comfort in these latest numbers, which indicate that the cooling effects of the stress test are diminishing. If you’ve been waiting on the sidelines to buy, don’t let fear hold you in limbo. The market is cyclical, and home prices will continue to fluctuate. But over the long term, real estate has consistently proven to be a good investment.

FIXED-RATE MORTGAGES ARE ON SALE

Historically, Canadians have had to pay a premium for a fixed-rate mortgage. Those who wanted to lock in a set payment for five years were charged a higher rate of interest. But a slide in the international bond market has made it cheaper for mortgage lenders to offer fixed-rate mortgages than variable ones.3

In fact, rates on standard five-year fixed-rate mortgages are at their lowest level in two years. Meanwhile, in July, the Bank of Canada dropped its five-year benchmark rate for the first time since September 2016. The rate, which is used in the bank’s mandated mortgage stress test, was dropped from 5.39% to 5.19%, making it easier for borrowers to qualify for a mortgage.4 

These lower rates have given a boost to buyers and the market in general. “We’ve now had a reawakening of sales for several months,” said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC Capital Markets in Toronto. “In addition, mortgage rates have been edging lower so the combination of the two is making for an active market.”5

What does it mean for you?

If you’re looking to buy a home, now is a great time to lock in a low fixed-rate mortgage. Not only will you save money, it will also guarantee you a predictable monthly payment (and peace of mind) over the next several years.

NEW INVENTORY IS ON THE WAY

Across the country, new home starts are on the rise. The uptick in construction is being led by Montreal and Vancouver, while Toronto—which tops the continent in number of active cranes—is beginning to see a decline in starts.6

July construction levels were 10% higher than the previous year and 17% higher than the median rate of growth over the last 10 years.6

Meanwhile, the number of new real estate listings in July declined slightly by .4%.5The Royal Bank of Canada predicts this will help balance the incoming pipeline of new construction. “Elevated levels of apartment construction in Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal raise some longer-term absorption issues. There’s little risk near term as unsold inventories are low at the present time.”7 

What does it mean for you?

If you’ve had trouble finding the right property in the past, you may want to take a look at new options hitting the market. And if you’re planning to sell your current home, now may be a good time to list. Competition from new construction is likely to increase over the next few years.

HOMEOWNERSHIP IS BECOMING MORE AFFORDABLE

According to the National Bank of Canada, housing is finally becoming more affordable. In fact, during the second quarter of this year, the cost of owning a home, relative to income, fell to its lowest level in a decade.8

An increase in wages, combined with falling mortgage rates, is helping to bring the relative cost of homeownership down. The average percentage of household income that went toward a mortgage payment fell from 48.7% to 45.1% in the 11 major cities included in the report.Of course, it’s still significantly higher than the 30% benchmark that is generally considered optimal.

So, while many Canadian markets may be a long way from being considered “affordable,” the trend seems to be moving in the right direction.

What does it mean for you?

If you’ve previously been unable to afford or qualify for a mortgage, it may be worth another try. A decline in mortgage rates, an increase in housing supply, and a lower stress test benchmark rate could help put your dreams of homeownership within reach.

I'M HERE TO GUIDE YOU

While national real estate numbers can provide a “big picture” outlook, real estate is local. As a local market expert, I can guide you through the ins and outs of our market and the issues most likely to impact sales and home values in your particular neighbourhood.  

If you have specific questions or would like more information about how market changes could affect you, contact me to schedule a free consultation. I'm here to help you navigate this shifting real estate landscape.

Sources:

  1. Canadian Real Estate Association -
    https://www.crea.ca/housing-market-stats/stats/
  2. CBC -
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/crea-home-sales-prices-up-july-1.5247892
  3. Global News -
    https://globalnews.ca/news/5666381/fixed-variable-mortgage-rates-canada-inverted-yield-curve/
  4. Global News -
    https://globalnews.ca/news/5659838/mortgage-stress-test-rate-bank-canada/
  5. Global News -
    https://business.financialpost.com/real-estate/mortgages/canadian-home-sales-rise-for-fifth-straight-month-as-mortgage-rates-decline
  6. Better Dwelling -
    https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-new-home-starts-jump-pushed-by-montreal-and-vancouver/
  7. Royal Bank of Canada - http://www.rbc.com/economics/economic-reports/pdf/canadian-housing/healthcheck-august18.pdf
  8. Huffington Post -
    https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/entry/housing-affordability-canada_ca_5d4f5ef0e4b0820e0af6627d